Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT HERO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with OWNERS' STAR second and FOXHUNTER WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly 1.49.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | RING BELLS B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY V H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER XB/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly B-/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SPLENDID STAR P- A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 1 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 8 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN FAIRY B-/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 61.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEISURE AND GOLD Led early B-/E-/XB- Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CABLE SPEED | 24.8% | 4.03 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | GALLANT HERO | 22.0% | 4.54 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 11.9% | 8.39 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR | 10.3% | 9.69 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | SPLENDID STAR | 6.2% | 16.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING FACE | 5.1% | 19.78 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | RING BELLS | 4.8% | 20.63 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY | 4.8% | 20.78 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.2% | 24.03 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 2.6% | 38.05 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 1.7% | 59.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.5% | 64.64 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 37
PLACE
1 15.5
5 20
7 30.5
QUINELLA
1,5 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 44
1,7 82
5,7 87
FORECAST
1,5 177
TIERCE
1,5,7 1,415
TRIO
1,5,7 377
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 153
QUARTET
1,5,7,8 3,555
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —