Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with HAPPY ANGEL second and AMAZING BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite JUNE PLANET finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY ANGEL B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly B1/TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 110.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 11 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR V/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER B- S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 8 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUNE PLANET | 19.2% | 5.22 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 16.4% | 6.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY ANGEL | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | VIVA POPCORN | 9.2% | 10.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | AMAZING BOY | 7.4% | 13.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 5.2% | 19.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 4.0% | 24.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.8% | 26.48 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN | 2.4% | 42.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 0.9% | 110.51 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 62
PLACE
5 20
6 35
10 25
QUINELLA
5,10 172.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 109.5
5,10 57
6,10 108.5
FORECAST
10,5 383
TIERCE
10,5,6 2,901
TRIO
5,6,10 511
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 301
QUARTET
10,5,6,4 9,175
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
5TH DOUBLE
3/5 60.5
3/10 587.5