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Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.77
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui 2 6.2 1
2 0 HAPPY ANGEL B A Badel · P C Ng 7 5.4 1
3 0 AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 3 16.0 1-1/2
4 0 JUNE PLANET Closed strongly B1/TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 5 2.5 2-1/4
5 0 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall 9 10.0 2-1/2
6 0 TRAVEL GUIDE XB/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson 1 110.0 2-3/4
7 0 WORLD FAMOUS Led early V H T Mo · P F Yiu 11 15.0 2-3/4
8 0 VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 7.7 4-3/4
9 0 TURTLE AGAIN B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung 4 43.0 5-1/4
10 0 HELENE ALLIBOR V/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 10 29.0 6
11 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER B- S De Sousa · C H Yip 8 16.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with HAPPY ANGEL second and AMAZING BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite JUNE PLANET finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LONDON LUCKYSTAR—2. HAPPY ANGEL+1L3. AMAZING BOY+1.5L4. JUNE PLANET+2.25L5. RIGHT AS RAIN+2.5L6. TRAVEL GUIDE+2.75L7. WORLD FAMOUS+2.75L8. VIVA POPCORN+4.75L9. TURTLE AGAIN+5.25L10. HELENE ALLIBOR+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick JUNE PLANET (19.2%) finished 4th — the winner LONDON LUCKYSTAR was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JUNE PLANET 19.2% 5.22 4
2 0 LONDON LUCKYSTAR 18.9% 5.30 1
3 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 16.4% 6.10 5
4 0 HAPPY ANGEL 12.7% 7.87 2
5 0 VIVA POPCORN 9.2% 10.91 8
6 0 AMAZING BOY 7.4% 13.54 3
7 0 HELENE ALLIBOR 5.2% 19.09 10
8 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER 4.0% 24.91 11
9 0 WORLD FAMOUS 3.8% 26.48 7
10 0 TURTLE AGAIN 2.4% 42.06 9
11 0 TRAVEL GUIDE 0.9% 110.51 6
JUNE PLANETLONDON LUCKYSTAR — wonRIGHT AS RAINHAPPY ANGELVIVA POPCORNAMAZING BOYHELENE ALLIBORBRILLIANT PIONEERWORLD FAMOUSTURTLE AGAINTRAVEL GUIDE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62

PLACE

5 20

6 35

10 25

QUINELLA

5,10 172.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 109.5

5,10 57

6,10 108.5

FORECAST

10,5 383

TIERCE

10,5,6 2,901

TRIO

5,6,10 511

FIRST 4

4,5,6,10 301

QUARTET

10,5,6,4 9,175

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 35

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

3/5 60.5

3/10 587.5