Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly TT 1.39.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Led early H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | UP AND UP Closed strongly TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN B1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TURIN MASCOT B-/SR1/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | 54.0 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVA HUNTER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by N, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and WINNING DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite STAR CONTACT finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 39.5% | 2.53 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 19.6% | 5.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 9.1% | 10.94 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 7.3% | 13.75 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | UP AND UP | 6.6% | 15.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.89 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 1.3% | 74.20 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 69.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 40.5
8 19
QUINELLA
1,8 126.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 101
1,8 34.5
2,8 150
FORECAST
8,1 289
TIERCE
8,1,2 3,957
TRIO
1,2,8 704
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 1,336
QUARTET
8,1,2,6 27,732
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/1,2,8 95,788
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 32
9/8 347
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 35
A3 —