Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MAGNIAC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 2, with ACE ONE second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAGNIAC V/TT 1.09.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | ACE ONE B/SR1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | JOLLY RULER H S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 9.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SOLID SHALAA L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 84.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | RED DESERT B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | NAMJONG SINGS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 26.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 5 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAGNIAC | 40.0% | 2.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 11.4% | 8.77 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | ACE ONE | 10.3% | 9.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 9.5% | 10.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 8.4% | 11.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | JOLLY RULER | 8.1% | 12.33 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | RED DESERT | 7.2% | 13.91 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | NAMJONG SINGS | 2.2% | 45.46 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 2.1% | 47.25 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | SOLID SHALAA | 0.8% | 121.83 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 21
PLACE
3 38.5
4 16
7 11
QUINELLA
3,7 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 121
3,7 62.5
4,7 26
FORECAST
7,3 263
TIERCE
7,3,4 1,104
TRIO
3,4,7 265
FIRST 4
3,4,5,7 421
QUARTET
7,3,4,5 6,171
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,10/3,4,7 15,593
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 185
10/7 191.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,5/5,6,10/3,4,7 197,673
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,5/5,6,10/Any Combination 1,848