Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HIGH RISE SOLDIER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with TRAVEL GOLF second and SURE JOYFUL third. The 2.2 favourite GLORY BO BO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B 1.09.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 6.9 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | TRAVEL GOLF TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 9 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | GLORY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE H/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | CHEER FOR SOUTH K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | VAMOS H A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | PLENTIFUL H/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 4 | 64.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 8.9 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 2 | 9.7 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 34.0 | 25-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GLORY BO BO | 26.9% | 3.72 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 18.1% | 5.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 14.4% | 6.93 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE | 8.1% | 12.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.4% | 15.66 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | VAMOS | 5.4% | 18.45 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | GOLDEN LUCK | 4.1% | 24.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | TRAVEL GOLF | 4.1% | 24.51 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | PLENTIFUL | 3.5% | 28.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.4% | 29.77 | 1 |
| 11 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 3.1% | 32.64 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 2.6% | 38.96 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 69
PLACE
1 19
4 50
10 36
QUINELLA
1,4 426.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 125.5
1,10 142.5
4,10 235
FORECAST
1,4 603
TIERCE
1,4,10 12,566
TRIO
1,4,10 2,061
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 1,114
QUARTET
1,4,10,9 36,898
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 412
8/4 144