跑馬地 · 2023-04-19 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-04-19跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的VICTORY SCHOLARS勝出，贏出3/4。EXUBERANT獲得亞軍；SIGHT HERO獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門EXUBERANT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V 1.09.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SIGHT HERO B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | SPEEDY CHARIOT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 8 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN V-/CP2/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT TEN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 8.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | HURRY HURRY RICH XB1/PC2/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 69.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EXUBERANT | 17.0% | 5.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SIGHT HERO | 15.4% | 6.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | SMART LEADER | 14.9% | 6.69 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 13.1% | 7.62 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SMOKEY BEAR | 9.1% | 10.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT | 6.5% | 15.28 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 5.8% | 17.29 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | CIRCUIT TEN | 4.7% | 21.09 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | RACING FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.26 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING | 4.6% | 21.66 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 2.9% | 34.51 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | HURRY HURRY RICH | 1.0% | 95.42 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 64
PLACE
3 17.5
4 18.5
5 16
QUINELLA
3,5 140
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 42.5
3,5 56.5
4,5 41
FORECAST
3,5 337
TIERCE
3,5,4 1,141
TRIO
3,4,5 165
FIRST 4
3,4,5,7 1,818
QUARTET
3,5,4,7 29,670
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/3,4,5 50,955
3 PICK 1
A1 25
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 319
1/5 63