沙田 · 2023-04-30 · 13:16
第 2場
2023-04-30沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LUCKY ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出2-1/2。GREEN N WHITE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY DESTINY獲得季軍。1.4倍大熱門BEAUTY DESTINY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER 1.09.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE TT1 T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 1.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 14 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GLUCK RACER V H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 9 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GOOD BOY B/H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | TRUST ME B/H/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 13 | 28.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | BRAVE AND BOLD V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 86.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 5 | 174.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | SUPER CONTENTED XB/CP1/TT J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 11 | 115.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ALWAYS BEAUTIFUL L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 182.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | NOBLE BOYZ M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 21.8% | 4.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | EASY SNIP | 10.1% | 9.86 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY | 8.7% | 11.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO | 5.7% | 17.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | TRUST ME | 4.8% | 20.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | GLUCK RACER | 4.1% | 24.10 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD BOY | 3.8% | 26.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.7% | 27.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 3.2% | 31.39 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | ALWAYS BEAUTIFUL | 3.1% | 32.75 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | SUPER CONTENTED | 2.0% | 50.00 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.6% | 62.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 59.5
PLACE
3 15
5 11.5
8 24
QUINELLA
3,8 251
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 18.5
3,8 59
5,8 32
FORECAST
3,8 564
TIERCE
3,8,5 1,048
TRIO
3,5,8 70
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 185
QUARTET
3,8,5,7 7,763
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/3 499
2/8 165
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/3,5,8 7,765
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35.5