沙田 · 2023-04-30 · 15:28
第 6場
2023-04-30沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的THE BEST PEACH勝出，贏出3/4。POWERFUL WINGS獲得亞軍；CHING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門CHING跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT 1.34.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHING 後段發力 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 7 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SERANGOON 後段發力 H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 124.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ROMANTIC CHARM B/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 7.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | PRINCE ALEX CP-/SR-/B1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING QUEST 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 65.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 13 | 81.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 143.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | THE ROCK 早段領放 L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 63.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHING | 20.4% | 4.89 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 14.2% | 7.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 12.6% | 7.97 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH | 11.4% | 8.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 9.3% | 10.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS | 7.3% | 13.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.64 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING QUEST | 4.6% | 21.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | SERANGOON | 3.1% | 32.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | PRINCE ALEX | 3.0% | 33.32 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.5% | 39.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | THE ROCK | 2.2% | 46.03 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.0% | 49.68 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO | 1.8% | 54.65 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 65.5
PLACE
2 14.5
3 22.5
7 41.5
QUINELLA
3,7 435
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 41
2,7 76.5
3,7 139.5
FORECAST
3,7 720
TIERCE
3,7,2 2,075
TRIO
2,3,7 314
FIRST 4
2,3,7,10 5,394
QUARTET
3,7,2,10 97,559
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,3,7 1,573
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 56
1/7 35
TRIPLE TRIO
2,13>6,14/1,2,4/2,3,7 58,094
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,13>6,14/1,2,4/Any Combination 500