沙田 · 2023-04-30 · 13:46
第 3場
2023-04-30沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Currie策騎、J Size訓練的REWARD SMILE勝出，贏出3/4。PRINCE OF PORTY獲得亞軍；SUPREME LUCKY獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門PRINCE OF PORTY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | REWARD SMILE 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY H1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 156.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B1/TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SHOW RESPECT SR/XB/TT T Marquand · D J Whyte | T Marquand | D J Whyte | 2 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BIG RED M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 127.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 3 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | FORTUNE WARRIOR CP1/XB1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 245.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | NISHIKADO V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 6 | 166.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 38.3% | 2.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY | 24.4% | 4.09 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 7.6% | 13.18 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 5.4% | 18.37 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.0% | 19.89 | 13 |
| 6 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 3.8% | 26.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPERB BOY | 3.7% | 27.33 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SHOW RESPECT | 2.4% | 40.86 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SHINING GEM | 2.2% | 45.77 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 1.9% | 51.31 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | BIG RED | 1.9% | 53.46 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | REWARD SMILE | 1.5% | 68.91 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | NISHIKADO | 1.2% | 84.43 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 0.6% | 155.62 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 286
PLACE
1 12
7 11.5
13 47
QUINELLA
7,13 229
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 14
1,13 100.5
7,13 70.5
FORECAST
13,7 845
TIERCE
13,7,1 2,373
TRIO
1,7,13 140
FIRST 4
1,7,11,13 1,329
QUARTET
13,7,1,11 47,746
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/7 24
3/13 1,591.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 83.5