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Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 15:28

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT 1.34.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 10 6.5 3/4
2 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 14 15.0 3/4
3 0 CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang 7 3.2 1-1/2
4 0 SERANGOON Closed strongly H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 124.0 2
5 0 ROMANTIC CHARM B/TT J McDonald · C S Shum 6 11.0 2-1/2
6 0 SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting 9 7.0 3
7 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So 5 4.9 3
9 0 FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 4 65.0 3-1/2
10 0 PEGASUS HERO V Borges · Y S Tsui 13 81.0 4
11 0 ALL BEAUTY J Moreira · F C Lor 3 14.0 4-3/4
13 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size 12 143.0 6-1/2
14 0 THE ROCK Led early L Currie · C Fownes 1 63.0 7
— 0 FIND MY LOVE CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man — 42.0 5-1/2
— 0 PRINCE ALEX CP-/SR-/B1 H Bentley · D J Whyte — 10.0 3

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THE BEST PEACH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with POWERFUL WINGS second and CHING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite CHING finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE BEST PEACH—2. POWERFUL WINGS+0.75L3. CHING+1.5L4. SERANGOON+2L5. ROMANTIC CHARM+2.5L6. SMILING COLLECTOR+3L7. OWNERS' PRAISE+3L9. FLYING QUEST+3.5L10. PEGASUS HERO+4L11. ALL BEAUTY+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CHING (20.4%) finished 3rd — the winner THE BEST PEACH was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHING 20.4% 4.89 3
2 0 SMILING COLLECTOR 14.2% 7.06 6
3 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 12.6% 7.97 7
4 0 THE BEST PEACH 11.4% 8.78 1
5 0 ROMANTIC CHARM 9.3% 10.79 5
6 0 POWERFUL WINGS 7.3% 13.68 2
7 0 ALL BEAUTY 5.7% 17.64 11
8 0 FLYING QUEST 4.6% 21.87 9
9 0 SERANGOON 3.1% 32.08 4
10 0 PRINCE ALEX 3.0% 33.32 —
11 0 FIND MY LOVE 2.5% 39.93 —
12 0 THE ROCK 2.2% 46.03 14
13 0 LEADING FORTUNE 2.0% 49.68 13
14 0 PEGASUS HERO 1.8% 54.65 10
CHINGSMILING COLLECTOROWNERS' PRAISETHE BEST PEACH — wonROMANTIC CHARMPOWERFUL WINGSALL BEAUTYFLYING QUESTSERANGOONPRINCE ALEXFIND MY LOVETHE ROCKLEADING FORTUNEPEGASUS HERO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 65.5

PLACE

2 14.5

3 22.5

7 41.5

QUINELLA

3,7 435

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 41

2,7 76.5

3,7 139.5

FORECAST

3,7 720

TIERCE

3,7,2 2,075

TRIO

2,3,7 314

FIRST 4

2,3,7,10 5,394

QUARTET

3,7,2,10 97,559

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 21.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,4/2,3,7 1,573

5TH DOUBLE

1/3 56

1/7 35

TRIPLE TRIO

2,13>6,14/1,2,4/2,3,7 58,094

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,13>6,14/1,2,4/Any Combination 500