Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 14:20
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT 1.23.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE Closed strongly H S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JOY COMING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL Closed strongly CP-/H/B1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ROUND THE GLOBE TT1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PUBLICIST Closed strongly H-/B2 T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SWORD Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 13 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP1/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 173.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL Led early TT1 Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 11 | 161.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 41.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RED HARE KING, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with COMMANDING MISSILE second and STORM LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 18.3% | 5.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 18.1% | 5.52 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 15.7% | 6.38 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 11.3% | 8.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 7.5% | 13.41 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | JOY COMING | 6.3% | 15.75 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 5.7% | 17.51 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 5.6% | 17.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 3.0% | 33.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 2.8% | 35.20 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 2.1% | 48.61 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.0% | 50.60 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.7% | 60.21 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 30.5
PLACE
2 27.5
6 14
13 34.5
QUINELLA
6,13 145.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 49
2,13 142.5
6,13 58.5
FORECAST
6,13 325
TIERCE
6,13,2 1,350
TRIO
2,6,13 241
FIRST 4
2,6,10,13 674
QUARTET
6,13,2,10 10,404
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,13/2,13>6,14 7,760
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
13/6,14 765
13/13 575