Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 18:03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 13 | 62.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TUCHEL Closed strongly C Demuro · J Size | C Demuro | J Size | 3 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 9 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H-/XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED LION A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 14 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 11 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SUNNY STAR A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 87.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | KEEFY H- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 24.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | — | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by SH, with CIRCUIT STELLAR second and TUCHEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 32.5% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED LION | 11.5% | 8.73 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA | 8.0% | 12.51 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | TUCHEL | 7.8% | 12.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 5.5% | 18.18 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.1% | 19.60 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 4.6% | 21.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 4.2% | 23.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 4.2% | 23.90 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER | 4.0% | 24.78 | — |
| 11 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.0% | 25.08 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 3.7% | 27.09 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEFY | 2.5% | 40.13 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 2.5% | 40.16 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 22.5
PLACE
3 132.5
4 11.5
8 18
QUINELLA
3,4 588.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 201
3,8 505.5
4,8 24.5
FORECAST
4,3 980
TIERCE
4,3,8 7,148
TRIO
3,4,8 1,303
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 2,224
QUARTET
4,3,8,7 44,138
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/4/3 3,310
1/4/4 709
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/3,4,8 132,738
9TH DOUBLE
4/3 1,517
4/4 385.5
SIX UP
1/3/1/1/4/4 5,974
1,4/3,7/1,5/1,6/4,5/3,4 919
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [A S Cruz] —