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Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 16:02

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 1.4 1-1/2
3 0 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 7 3.2 2-1/4
5 0 AEGON Closed strongly B1 J McDonald · A Forsman 5 75.0 4
6 0 MY OBERON Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A Neasham 8 20.0 10-3/4
7 0 WAIKUKU T Marquand · J Size 3 120.0 11-1/4
8 0 HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor 1 106.0 20-1/2
— 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON K Teetan · P C Ng — — —
— 0 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz — 21.0 1-1/2
— 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE CP A Badel · P F Yiu — 11.0 3-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and AEGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—3. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE+2.25L5. AEGON+4L6. MY OBERON+10.75L7. WAIKUKU+11.25L8. HEALTHY HAPPY+20.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CALIFORNIA SPANGLE (44.0%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE 44.0% 2.27 3
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 23.9% 4.18 1
3 0 BEAUTY JOY 9.0% 11.11 —
4 0 MY OBERON 7.5% 13.35 6
5 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE 6.7% 14.91 —
6 0 AEGON 3.7% 26.83 5
7 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.0% 33.24 8
8 0 WAIKUKU 2.1% 47.65 7
CALIFORNIA SPANGLEGOLDEN SIXTY — wonBEAUTY JOYMY OBERONVOYAGE BUBBLEAEGONHEALTHY HAPPYWAIKUKU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 14.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 10.1

5 27.5

QUINELLA

1,5 113.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 11.5

1,5 29.5

2,5 35

FORECAST

1,5 141

TIERCE

1,5,2 249

TRIO

1,2,5 43

FIRST 4

1,2,5,9 37

QUARTET

1,5,2,9 675

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 14.5

6TH DOUBLE

3/1 79

3/5 186