Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 16:02
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY JOY second and CALIFORNIA SPANGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 1.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 2 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | VOYAGE BUBBLE CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | AEGON Closed strongly B1 J McDonald · A Forsman | J McDonald | A Forsman | 5 | 75.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | MY OBERON Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A Neasham | J Moreira | A Neasham | 8 | 20.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WAIKUKU T Marquand · J Size | T Marquand | J Size | 3 | 120.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 1 | 106.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 7 | GLORIOUS DRAGON K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 44.0% | 2.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 9.0% | 11.11 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MY OBERON | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | AEGON | 3.7% | 26.83 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.0% | 33.24 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | WAIKUKU | 2.1% | 47.65 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 14.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 10.1
5 27.5
QUINELLA
1,5 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 11.5
1,5 29.5
2,5 35
FORECAST
1,5 141
TIERCE
1,5,2 249
TRIO
1,2,5 43
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 37
QUARTET
1,5,2,9 675
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 79
3/5 186