Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly TT 2.03.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 9.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 76.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WON C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | YEABOI Led early B/TT1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY H/XB C Demuro · C W Chang | C Demuro | C W Chang | 8 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 7.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | ENSURED B-/V1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 9 | 7.5 | 12 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | — | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. PACKING HURRICANE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with REACH GOAL second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite REACH GOAL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 26.9% | 3.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ENSURED | 11.7% | 8.53 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT | 9.6% | 10.46 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WON | 8.0% | 12.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 6.9% | 14.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 6.3% | 15.80 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.0% | 16.60 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.9% | 16.93 | — |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY | 4.9% | 20.59 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 4.7% | 21.31 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.2% | 31.74 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 2.5% | 39.92 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 1.9% | 52.15 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | YEABOI | 1.6% | 62.59 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 90.5
PLACE
2 31
9 17.5
10 27
QUINELLA
2,9 256.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 100
2,10 189
9,10 80
FORECAST
2,9 480
TIERCE
2,9,10 4,194
TRIO
2,9,10 892
FIRST 4
2,9,10,13 2,662
QUARTET
2,9,10,13 49,160
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —