Sha Tin · 2023-04-30 · 17:28
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-30 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NOT USUAL STAR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by N, with BEAUTY MISSILE second and GOOD BUDDY third. The winner led throughout. The 4.5 favourite WIDE BLUE YONDER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR Wire to wire H/TT 1.23.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 7 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD BUDDY Closed strongly J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 2 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SILVER SONIC Closed strongly XB1/TT- H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 187.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | UNPRESUMING Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 14 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY MISSION H/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHARITY GRACE B-/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 103.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS H S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 4 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HK DRAGON V/TT T Marquand · D J Whyte | T Marquand | D J Whyte | 10 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 8.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 10 | SEASONS BLISS L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 54.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 19.6% | 5.10 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY MISSION | 17.6% | 5.67 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | TAJ DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.52 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 10.4% | 9.58 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | UNPRESUMING | 8.0% | 12.48 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.6% | 13.09 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | HK DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.09 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | CHARITY GRACE | 3.8% | 26.26 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.4% | 29.29 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR | 3.1% | 32.00 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | SEASONS BLISS | 2.9% | 33.91 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | CIRCUIT NINE | 1.8% | 55.46 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SILVER SONIC | 0.6% | 172.13 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 178.5
PLACE
3 18
4 44
5 38.5
QUINELLA
4,5 807
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 128
3,5 135
4,5 235.5
FORECAST
4,5 1,302
TIERCE
4,5,3 7,135
TRIO
3,4,5 1,345
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 31,233
QUARTET
4,5,3,11 585,865
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/4 226.5
1/5 36