跑馬地 · 2023-05-17 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-05-17跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、P C Ng訓練的SUPER COMMANDER勝出，贏出3/4。SAVVY DELIGHT獲得亞軍；SUPER AXIOM獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門SAVVY DELIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT 0.57.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | KING INVINCIBLE TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 4 | 74.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HELLS BELLS SR1/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | LIFE IS GOOD H-/XB/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 96.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | DIVINE ERA TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | JOY IN JOY B1 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 109.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KING INVINCIBLE | 23.0% | 4.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 19.2% | 5.21 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 7.6% | 13.22 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | DIVINE ERA | 5.4% | 18.69 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.8% | 20.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.7% | 21.07 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.5% | 22.38 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | HELLS BELLS | 4.4% | 22.66 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 3.0% | 33.72 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | JOY IN JOY | 2.8% | 35.52 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | LIFE IS GOOD | 1.5% | 66.41 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 80.5
PLACE
1 16
3 33
4 27
QUINELLA
1,4 143.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 81.5
1,4 56.5
3,4 116
FORECAST
4,1 301
TIERCE
4,1,3 2,734
TRIO
1,3,4 503
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 421
QUARTET
4,1,3,6 12,020
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/4/1 495
4/4/4 5,398
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/1,3,4 780,305
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 125
4/4 955.5