跑馬地 · 2023-05-17 · 22:18
第 8場
2023-05-17跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的EASON勝出，贏出SH。HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得亞軍；HARMONY AND RICH獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EASON V/TT 1.09.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 17.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 2.1 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | HARMONY AND RICH B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ADIOS TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ATOMIC FORCE H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 77.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING TREADMILL SR H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 5.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 51.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | ASTROLOGER L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 33.0% | 3.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | PACKING TREADMILL | 16.8% | 5.94 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | ATOMIC FORCE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | ADIOS | 9.8% | 10.22 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 8.7% | 11.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | EASON | 6.4% | 15.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | HARMONY AND RICH | 4.7% | 21.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.0% | 33.86 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | GRATEFUL HEART | 2.8% | 35.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 2.3% | 43.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.5% | 64.78 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.1% | 88.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 179.5
PLACE
6 11.5
11 44.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
6,11 170
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 66
6,12 42
11,12 184.5
FORECAST
11,6 623
TIERCE
11,6,12 4,350
TRIO
6,11,12 427
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 766
QUARTET
11,6,12,8 27,021
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 37
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/6 17.5
3/11 1,391