跑馬地 · 2023-05-17 · 19:46
第 3場
2023-05-17跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、K L Man訓練的E UNIVERSE勝出，贏出3-1/4。YOUNG LIFE FOREVER獲得亞軍；HAPPY SOUL獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門HARMONY N HOME跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | E UNIVERSE TT 1.10.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEEDY CHARIOT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL V B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 4 | 4.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 5 | 168.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER ELITE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 70.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | G LINER SR/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 139.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHEONG FAT A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 26.3% | 3.80 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | E UNIVERSE | 23.6% | 4.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF | 10.9% | 9.17 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 10.9% | 9.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL | 8.0% | 12.48 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY SOUL | 5.6% | 17.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | LIKE THAT | 4.2% | 23.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 4.1% | 24.38 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER ELITE | 2.6% | 37.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN | 1.7% | 58.52 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 1.0% | 98.51 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | G LINER | 1.0% | 102.28 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 54.5
PLACE
4 18.5
8 57.5
11 23
QUINELLA
4,11 176
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 144
4,11 62.5
8,11 250
FORECAST
4,11 324
TIERCE
4,11,8 4,376
TRIO
4,8,11 864
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 3,363
QUARTET
4,11,8,3 42,600
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,12/4,8,11 23,249
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 65.5
1/11 20
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —