跑馬地 · 2023-05-17 · 22:52
第 9場
2023-05-17跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPERB CAPITALIST勝出，贏出2-1/2。ALLGREEKTOME獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT PEERS獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門BRAVE STAR跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | ALLGREEKTOME TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 9 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | JUNEAU FLASH PC K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 9.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 8.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | TELECOM SPEED M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 62.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRAVE STAR | 21.1% | 4.75 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | SON PAK FU | 17.8% | 5.62 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | ALLGREEKTOME | 14.6% | 6.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | JUNEAU FLASH | 12.9% | 7.72 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | NICCONI COUNTY | 5.7% | 17.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 5.2% | 19.16 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | ACE ONE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | TELECOM SPEED | 4.7% | 21.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 4.3% | 23.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 3.6% | 27.84 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.5% | 28.92 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 1.8% | 56.04 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 59
PLACE
3 117.5
8 21
9 23.5
QUINELLA
8,9 219
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 543.5
3,9 539
8,9 81.5
FORECAST
9,8 573
TIERCE
9,8,3 15,794
TRIO
3,8,9 3,914
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 17,149
QUARTET
9,8,3,4 216,064
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/11/8 1,886
3/11/9 10,824
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/3,8,9 340,076
8TH DOUBLE
11/8 356
11/9 1,547.5
SIX UP
4/4/5/3/11/9 2,586,260
4,8/1,4/5,11/2,3/6,11/8,9 15,360
1 [C Fownes] —
9 [L Ferraris] —