Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 22:52
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | ALLGREEKTOME TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 9 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUNEAU FLASH PC K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 9.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 8.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM SPEED M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 62.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 33.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 3.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ALLGREEKTOME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/2, with EXCELLENT PEERS second and ARMOUR EAGLE third. The 3.0 favourite BRAVE STAR did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRAVE STAR | 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
| 2 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 17.8% | 5.62 | — |
| 3 | 0 | ALLGREEKTOME | 14.6% | 6.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | JUNEAU FLASH | 12.9% | 7.72 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | NICCONI COUNTY | 5.7% | 17.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 5.2% | 19.16 | — |
| 7 | 0 | ACE ONE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM SPEED | 4.7% | 21.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 4.3% | 23.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 3.6% | 27.84 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.5% | 28.92 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 1.8% | 56.04 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 59
PLACE
3 117.5
8 21
9 23.5
QUINELLA
8,9 219
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 543.5
3,9 539
8,9 81.5
FORECAST
9,8 573
TIERCE
9,8,3 15,794
TRIO
3,8,9 3,914
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 17,149
QUARTET
9,8,3,4 216,064
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/11/8 1,886
3/11/9 10,824
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/3,8,9 340,076
8TH DOUBLE
11/8 356
11/9 1,547.5
SIX UP
4/4/5/3/11/9 2,586,260
4,8/1,4/5,11/2,3/6,11/8,9 15,360
1 [C Fownes] —
9 [L Ferraris] —