Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC LAOS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with FEARLESS FIRE second and UNITED ENDEAVORS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 1.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE Led early B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR-/V2/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 7 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | CHOICERUS Closed strongly B-/SR2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 44.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND Closed strongly H-/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLD STERLING B1/TT1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 81.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT B1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 99.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 11 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 72.0 | 30-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 39.7% | 2.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | PALACE PAL | 21.0% | 4.76 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR | 8.3% | 11.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 5.2% | 19.09 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.9% | 20.40 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 4.7% | 21.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.29 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 3.4% | 29.83 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | CHOICERUS | 2.9% | 34.96 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 2.4% | 41.99 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 2.2% | 45.80 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLD STERLING | 1.1% | 92.12 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 10.5
3 25.5
12 44.5
QUINELLA
1,3 84
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 35
1,12 62.5
3,12 216
FORECAST
1,3 97
TIERCE
1,3,12 1,128
TRIO
1,3,12 373
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 271
QUARTET
1,3,12,6 4,231
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 124.5
10/3 120
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —