Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALLOY KING V 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | THETA HEDGE B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW SR-/B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JACK WIN B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VALHALLA XB/V1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE SR-/B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 12 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 5 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | NOIR RIDER V/TT Y L Chung · L Ho | Y L Chung | L Ho | 8 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ENCORE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | COMPULSORY B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 10 | 33.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ALLOY KING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with THETA HEDGE second and DOUBLE SHOW third. The 3.6 favourite THETA HEDGE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 25.2% | 3.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | JACK WIN | 13.3% | 7.54 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.0% | 11.12 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 8.7% | 11.45 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | VALHALLA | 8.7% | 11.52 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.4% | 13.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ALLOY KING | 5.2% | 19.31 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | ENCORE | 5.0% | 20.14 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 4.7% | 21.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.6% | 28.03 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | NOIR RIDER | 2.4% | 41.03 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 64
PLACE
4 16
6 24.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
4,10 120.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 56
4,10 44
6,10 80
FORECAST
10,4 300
TIERCE
10,4,6 1,540
TRIO
4,6,10 260
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 286
QUARTET
10,4,6,2 7,902
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23.5