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Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.17
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ONE FOR ALL B/TT 1.10.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · R Gibson 12 8.2 1-1/4
2 0 CHARMING STEED TT H Bentley · C Fownes 7 6.7 1-1/4
3 0 CHEER FOR SOUTH K Teetan · F C Lor 5 10.0 1-1/4
4 0 SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 8 5.6 2
5 0 DIAMOND FLARE B-/TT1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu 6 13.0 3
6 0 CIRCUIT BOOMING TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 1 6.1 4-1/4
7 0 ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard 4 7.3 4-3/4
8 0 HERCULES B/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip 9 13.0 5
9 0 SUPER JOY P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 11 53.0 6
10 0 TELECOM SPIRIT B K C Leung · Y S Tsui 3 39.0 6-1/4
11 0 GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man 10 17.0 6-1/2
12 0 PRECISION GOAL P/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 2 8.5 6-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ONE FOR ALL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/4, with CHARMING STEED second and CHEER FOR SOUTH third. The 5.6 favourite SNOWALOT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ONE FOR ALL—2. CHARMING STEED+1.25L3. CHEER FOR SOUTH+1.25L4. SNOWALOT+2L5. DIAMOND FLARE+3L6. CIRCUIT BOOMING+4.25L7. ABOVE ALL+4.75L8. HERCULES+5L9. SUPER JOY+6L10. TELECOM SPIRIT+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CIRCUIT BOOMING (19.2%) finished 6th — the winner ONE FOR ALL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CIRCUIT BOOMING 19.2% 5.21 6
2 0 ONE FOR ALL 17.7% 5.63 1
3 0 SNOWALOT 13.0% 7.67 4
4 0 CHARMING STEED 8.9% 11.29 2
5 0 HERCULES 7.9% 12.61 8
6 0 CHEER FOR SOUTH 7.8% 12.87 3
7 0 DIAMOND FLARE 7.4% 13.51 5
8 0 GOLDEN LUCK 7.1% 14.14 11
9 0 ABOVE ALL 4.7% 21.09 7
10 0 PRECISION GOAL 3.2% 31.59 12
11 0 TELECOM SPIRIT 1.7% 60.29 10
12 0 SUPER JOY 1.4% 70.91 9
CIRCUIT BOOMINGONE FOR ALL — wonSNOWALOTCHARMING STEEDHERCULESCHEER FOR SOUTHDIAMOND FLAREGOLDEN LUCKABOVE ALLPRECISION GOALTELECOM SPIRITSUPER JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 82.5

PLACE

5 28

7 36

11 24

QUINELLA

5,11 296

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 195

5,11 109.5

7,11 118

FORECAST

5,11 620

TIERCE

5,11,7 6,755

TRIO

5,7,11 936

FIRST 4

3,5,7,11 1,218

QUARTET

5,11,7,3 34,854

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 21.5

A1 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

4/5 482.5

4/11 111.5