Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ONE FOR ALL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/4, with CHARMING STEED second and CHEER FOR SOUTH third. The 5.6 favourite SNOWALOT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT 1.10.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 12 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CHARMING STEED TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 7 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE B-/TT1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HERCULES B/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER JOY P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 11 | 53.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | TELECOM SPIRIT B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL P/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 8.5 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 19.2% | 5.21 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | ONE FOR ALL | 17.7% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SNOWALOT | 13.0% | 7.67 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | CHARMING STEED | 8.9% | 11.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | HERCULES | 7.9% | 12.61 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 7.8% | 12.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE | 7.4% | 13.51 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK | 7.1% | 14.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | ABOVE ALL | 4.7% | 21.09 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL | 3.2% | 31.59 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 1.7% | 60.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER JOY | 1.4% | 70.91 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 82.5
PLACE
5 28
7 36
11 24
QUINELLA
5,11 296
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 195
5,11 109.5
7,11 118
FORECAST
5,11 620
TIERCE
5,11,7 6,755
TRIO
5,7,11 936
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 1,218
QUARTET
5,11,7,3 34,854
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/5 482.5
4/11 111.5