Happy Valley · 2023-05-17 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-17 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MEANINGFUL STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with ROCKET SPADE second and TIANCHI MONSTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B 1.49.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.3 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 6.7 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H/P1 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | UP AND UP Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FLYING QUEST B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | VILLA FIONN B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 66.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | UP AND UP | 24.0% | 4.17 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 16.1% | 6.23 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 11.6% | 8.64 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.3% | 12.05 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 5.4% | 18.43 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 5.1% | 19.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 4.6% | 21.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | VILLA FIONN | 4.1% | 24.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT | 3.8% | 26.28 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | FLYING QUEST | 3.2% | 30.92 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT | 2.1% | 46.53 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 53
PLACE
1 32
2 23.5
3 18
QUINELLA
2,3 212
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 122
1,3 85.5
2,3 79.5
FORECAST
3,2 345
TIERCE
3,2,1 1,631
TRIO
1,2,3 340
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 744
QUARTET
3,2,1,7 12,138
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/1,2,3 59,766
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 96.5
5/3 288.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,4/5,7,11/1,2,3 1,654,602
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,4/5,7,11/Any Combination 19,596