跑馬地 · 2023-06-07 · 19:16
第 2場
2023-06-07跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Dee策騎、T P Yung訓練的CIRCUIT SPLENDOR勝出，贏出1。HAPPY GATHERING獲得亞軍；THETA HEDGE獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門FINGERS CROSSED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB- 1.10.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | THETA HEDGE B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JACK WIN B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED B/H/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 3.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | JUST GREAT TWO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 109.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EUROMISSILE XB/B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 10 | 40.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THETA HEDGE | 24.6% | 4.06 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER HORNET | 14.3% | 6.97 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING | 13.7% | 7.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED | 12.9% | 7.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | JACK WIN | 8.3% | 11.99 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.3% | 15.86 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 6.3% | 15.87 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 4.4% | 22.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.2% | 31.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | EUROMISSILE | 2.3% | 43.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 2.1% | 47.27 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.5% | 66.62 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 155.5
PLACE
1 17
3 15.5
11 51
QUINELLA
1,11 487
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41
1,11 155.5
3,11 118
FORECAST
11,1 1,110
TIERCE
11,1,3 5,084
TRIO
1,3,11 718
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 860
QUARTET
11,1,3,2 25,987
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 33
3/11 1,235
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38
A1 —