Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT SPLENDOR, ridden by M Dee and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with HAPPY GATHERING second and THETA HEDGE third. The 3.8 favourite FINGERS CROSSED finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB- 1.10.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | THETA HEDGE B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JACK WIN B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED B/H/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 3.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | JUST GREAT TWO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 109.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EUROMISSILE XB/B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 10 | 40.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THETA HEDGE | 24.6% | 4.06 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER HORNET | 14.3% | 6.97 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING | 13.7% | 7.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED | 12.9% | 7.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | JACK WIN | 8.3% | 11.99 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.3% | 15.86 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 6.3% | 15.87 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 4.4% | 22.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.2% | 31.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | EUROMISSILE | 2.3% | 43.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 2.1% | 47.27 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.5% | 66.62 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 155.5
PLACE
1 17
3 15.5
11 51
QUINELLA
1,11 487
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41
1,11 155.5
3,11 118
FORECAST
11,1 1,110
TIERCE
11,1,3 5,084
TRIO
1,3,11 718
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 860
QUARTET
11,1,3,2 25,987
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 33
3/11 1,235
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38
A1 —