Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LUCK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with SIGHT HERO second and KING INVINCIBLE third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT 1.10.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SIGHT HERO B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | KING INVINCIBLE TT- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | COLONEL V Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | OUR CLASS ACT H M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ALWAYS AWESOME H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 5.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | DAILY TROPHY TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SEE U AGAIN L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CHEONG FAT H/PC A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 12 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER CONTENTED CP/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 8 | 102.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | COPARTNER PUDONG B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 86.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 20.1% | 4.99 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | KING INVINCIBLE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | CHEONG FAT | 11.6% | 8.65 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | COLONEL | 10.7% | 9.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SIGHT HERO | 8.9% | 11.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK | 8.6% | 11.57 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | OUR CLASS ACT | 7.3% | 13.71 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SEE U AGAIN | 5.6% | 17.99 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR | 3.9% | 25.34 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | DAILY TROPHY | 3.6% | 27.95 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER CONTENTED | 1.8% | 55.65 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 1.5% | 67.09 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 32
PLACE
1 24.5
3 22
9 15
QUINELLA
1,9 192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 78
1,9 74.5
3,9 41
FORECAST
9,1 399
TIERCE
9,1,3 1,966
TRIO
1,3,9 371
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 490
QUARTET
9,1,3,10 10,096
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
5TH DOUBLE
3,8/1 54.5
3,8/9 268.5