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Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SEASONS WIT B/TT 0.56.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards 1 2.6 1
3 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H B Avdulla · D J Whyte 4 12.0 2-3/4
4 0 ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 3.4 3
5 0 DROPS OF GOD K Teetan · J Size 2 13.0 3-1/4
6 0 TORONADO PHANTOM TT M Dee · J Size 7 23.0 3-1/4
7 0 ATOMIC FORCE H Bowman · C Fownes 9 15.0 3-1/2
8 0 GORGEOUS VITALITY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 27.0 4
10 0 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 49.0 10-1/4
— 0 HARMONY FIRE SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte — 40.0 4-3/4
— 0 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes — 4.9 1
— 0 HARMONY AND RICH L Hewitson · D A Hayes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SEASONS WIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1, with EQUALETTA BLITZ second and ATOMIC ENERGY third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SEASONS WIT—3. EQUALETTA BLITZ+2.75L4. ATOMIC ENERGY+3L5. DROPS OF GOD+3.25L6. TORONADO PHANTOM+3.25L7. ATOMIC FORCE+3.5L8. GORGEOUS VITALITY+4L10. KEEP YOU WARM+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SEASONS WIT (50.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SEASONS WIT 50.8% 1.97 1
2 0 ATOMIC ENERGY 12.2% 8.19 4
3 0 HARMONY N BLESSED 8.3% 11.98 —
4 0 ATOMIC FORCE 8.2% 12.19 7
5 0 DROPS OF GOD 7.7% 12.92 5
6 0 TORONADO PHANTOM 4.0% 24.89 6
7 0 GORGEOUS VITALITY 3.5% 28.53 8
8 0 HARMONY FIRE 1.8% 56.42 —
9 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ 1.7% 58.47 3
10 0 KEEP YOU WARM 1.7% 59.09 10
SEASONS WIT — wonATOMIC ENERGYHARMONY N BLESSEDATOMIC FORCEDROPS OF GODTORONADO PHANTOMGORGEOUS VITALITYHARMONY FIREEQUALETTA BLITZKEEP YOU WARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 26.5

PLACE

5 17

6 12

7 33

QUINELLA

5,6 54

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 28

5,7 81

6,7 66.5

FORECAST

6,5 145

TIERCE

6,5,7 866

TRIO

5,6,7 193

FIRST 4

5,6,7,10 125

QUARTET

6,5,7,10 2,929

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 15

7TH DOUBLE

8/5 105.5

8/6 486