Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SEASONS WIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and EQUALETTA BLITZ third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEASONS WIT B/TT 0.56.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | DROPS OF GOD K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT M Dee · J Size | M Dee | J Size | 7 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 2 | HARMONY AND RICH L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEASONS WIT | 50.8% | 1.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 12.2% | 8.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 8.3% | 11.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE | 8.2% | 12.19 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | DROPS OF GOD | 7.7% | 12.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 4.0% | 24.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 3.5% | 28.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | HARMONY FIRE | 1.8% | 56.42 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 1.7% | 58.47 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.7% | 59.09 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 26.5
PLACE
5 17
6 12
7 33
QUINELLA
5,6 54
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 28
5,7 81
6,7 66.5
FORECAST
6,5 145
TIERCE
6,5,7 866
TRIO
5,6,7 193
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 125
QUARTET
6,5,7,10 2,929
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/5 105.5
8/6 486