Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by A T Millard, won by NOSE, with BEAU GOSSE second and JOYFUL GENIUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite M UNICORN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B 1.40.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 2 | 22.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | BEAU GOSSE Closed strongly H/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE Led early B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | V CHEVALIERS B-/H2/P2/TT M Dee · K L Man | M Dee | K L Man | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GLUCK RACER B- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | M UNICORN H/P/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GANG OF BROTHERS CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 9 | 11.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 20.0 | ML |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | M UNICORN | 16.3% | 6.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 12.9% | 7.73 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | V CHEVALIERS | 12.9% | 7.78 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 11.1% | 9.05 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 8.7% | 11.48 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.8% | 12.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.4% | 13.54 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 7.0% | 14.38 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 6.7% | 14.82 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.4% | 22.87 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN | 2.7% | 37.19 | 1 |
| 12 | 7 | COPARTNER ERA | 2.2% | 46.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 229
PLACE
1 69.5
5 25
9 33
QUINELLA
1,9 1,599.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 328
1,9 429
5,9 133
FORECAST
1,9 2,994
TIERCE
1,9,5 29,599
TRIO
1,5,9 3,601
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 4,444
QUARTET
1,9,5,4 102,299
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/1,5,9 323,249
2ND DOUBLE
11/1 3,400.5
11/9 382
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5