Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. S J TOURBILLON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with ROCKET SPADE second and TURIN MASCOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly SR/XB/TT 1.49.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H/P M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 11 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER B M Dee · A T Millard | M Dee | A T Millard | 4 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 12 | 102.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 6.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.4 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAR SLAM B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 9 | 60.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 21.0% | 4.75 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | ROCKET SPADE | 16.2% | 6.16 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 9.2% | 10.86 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON | 8.6% | 11.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 8.1% | 12.39 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | HIT THE SHOT | 7.6% | 13.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT | 7.5% | 13.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 7.3% | 13.67 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER | 7.0% | 14.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO | 3.0% | 33.26 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | BEAR SLAM | 2.8% | 35.71 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | VILLA FIONN | 1.7% | 60.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 118.5
PLACE
1 15.5
5 25.5
8 34.5
QUINELLA
1,8 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 70
1,8 52
5,8 174.5
FORECAST
8,1 490
TIERCE
8,1,5 4,376
TRIO
1,5,8 767
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 810
QUARTET
8,1,5,12 19,826
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,5,8 15,176
6TH DOUBLE
9/1 26.5
9/8 627
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,12>3,8/1,3,9/Any Combination 10,668