Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT ELITE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with CLASSIC ARCHI second and BARON ZEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite CLASSIC ARCHI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BARON ZEE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 1 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly TT M Dee · C W Chang | M Dee | C W Chang | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly V-/B2 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | ALL IS READY V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHIRON Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | WIN WIN CHARITY B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early XB L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 11 | 52.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | SURE WIN WIN B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | DREAM CATCHER B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 52.0 | 30-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RED ELYSEES Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SMART COUSIN L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CABLE SPEED | 12.2% | 8.21 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | OWNERS' STAR | 11.9% | 8.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY | 11.4% | 8.76 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | ALL IS READY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | BARON ZEE | 9.7% | 10.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 9.3% | 10.71 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | SURE WIN WIN | 7.7% | 13.01 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 7.0% | 14.24 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | CHIRON | 6.5% | 15.35 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 2.5% | 39.32 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | DREAM CATCHER | 1.3% | 77.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 49.5
PLACE
3 20
4 21
11 23.5
QUINELLA
3,4 162
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 64.5
3,11 75
4,11 68.5
FORECAST
3,4 335
TIERCE
3,4,11 2,283
TRIO
3,4,11 379
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 421
QUARTET
3,4,11,12 9,142
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24
A3 —