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Happy Valley · 2023-06-07 · 18:46

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.50.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz 7 4.9 1-1/4
2 0 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 4.8 1-1/4
3 0 BARON ZEE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson 1 7.9 1-1/4
4 0 OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So 3 6.7 2
5 0 CABLE SPEED Closed strongly TT M Dee · C W Chang 4 6.7 2-1/4
6 0 DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly V-/B2 L Ferraris · C Fownes 2 14.0 3-1/2
7 0 ALL IS READY V K Teetan · P F Yiu 9 18.0 5-3/4
8 0 CHIRON Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 10 9.7 6-1/2
9 0 WIN WIN CHARITY B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui 8 18.0 9
10 0 GOLDEN FAIRY Led early XB L Currie · A T Millard 11 52.0 11
11 0 SURE WIN WIN B M F Poon · T P Yung 6 16.0 11-1/4
12 0 DREAM CATCHER B M L Yeung · K H Ting 12 52.0 30-1/4
— 0 RED ELYSEES Z Purton · K L Man — — —
— 0 SMART COUSIN L Hewitson · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-07 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT ELITE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with CLASSIC ARCHI second and BARON ZEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite CLASSIC ARCHI finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT ELITE—2. CLASSIC ARCHI+1.25L3. BARON ZEE+1.25L4. OWNERS' STAR+2L5. CABLE SPEED+2.25L6. DAILY BEAUTY+3.5L7. ALL IS READY+5.75L8. CHIRON+6.5L9. WIN WIN CHARITY+9L10. GOLDEN FAIRY+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CABLE SPEED (12.2%) finished 5th — the winner CIRCUIT ELITE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CABLE SPEED 12.2% 8.21 5
2 0 OWNERS' STAR 11.9% 8.42 4
3 0 DAILY BEAUTY 11.4% 8.76 6
4 0 ALL IS READY 10.5% 9.53 7
5 0 CIRCUIT ELITE 9.9% 10.11 1
6 0 BARON ZEE 9.7% 10.27 3
7 0 WIN WIN CHARITY 9.3% 10.71 9
8 0 SURE WIN WIN 7.7% 13.01 11
9 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 7.0% 14.24 2
10 0 CHIRON 6.5% 15.35 8
11 0 GOLDEN FAIRY 2.5% 39.32 10
12 0 DREAM CATCHER 1.3% 77.63 12
CABLE SPEEDOWNERS' STARDAILY BEAUTYALL IS READYCIRCUIT ELITE — wonBARON ZEEWIN WIN CHARITYSURE WIN WINCLASSIC ARCHICHIRONGOLDEN FAIRYDREAM CATCHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 49.5

PLACE

3 20

4 21

11 23.5

QUINELLA

3,4 162

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 64.5

3,11 75

4,11 68.5

FORECAST

3,4 335

TIERCE

3,4,11 2,283

TRIO

3,4,11 379

FIRST 4

3,4,11,12 421

QUARTET

3,4,11,12 9,142

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 24

A1 —

A3 —