跑馬地 · 2023-06-07 · 20:18
第 4場
2023-06-07跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的THE RUNNER勝出，贏出1/2。SPEEDY CHARIOT獲得亞軍；SNOWALOT獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門SNOWALOT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE RUNNER V 1.10.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SPEEDY CHARIOT SR1 M Dee · D J Whyte | M Dee | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL P/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN B M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RED DESERT E-/B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SEIZE THE DREAM K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 98.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CROWN OF STAR P-/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 11 | 145.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY SOUL H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 21.6% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 17.4% | 5.74 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | SNOWALOT | 17.1% | 5.86 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 9.2% | 10.81 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 8.1% | 12.28 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.0% | 14.31 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT | 6.3% | 15.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN | 4.6% | 21.73 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | RED DESERT | 4.1% | 24.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL | 2.7% | 37.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | CROWN OF STAR | 1.0% | 97.74 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 0.8% | 120.27 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 40.5
PLACE
1 16
2 15.5
10 31
QUINELLA
1,10 275
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29
1,10 85.5
2,10 73.5
FORECAST
1,10 439
TIERCE
1,10,2 1,550
TRIO
1,2,10 310
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 430
QUARTET
1,10,2,5 8,972
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 549
1/10 471.5