沙田 · 2023-06-10 · 17:31
第 4場
2023-06-10沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、K W Lui訓練的MASTER OF LUCK勝出，贏出SH。TRAVEL GLORY獲得亞軍；MAXIMIZE HEART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門MAXIMIZE HEART跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER OF LUCK 後段發力 H-/B1/TT 1.22.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY 後段發力 B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 28.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART 後段發力 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 3 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | APEX TOP 早段領放 B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 14 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | INSPIRING CITY 後段發力 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GREEN LASER B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B/H/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 76.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN LASER | 17.9% | 5.58 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 13.7% | 7.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 11.0% | 9.09 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | APEX TOP | 8.8% | 11.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.7% | 15.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | INSPIRING CITY | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 5.3% | 18.95 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | MASTER OF LUCK | 4.8% | 20.98 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.9% | 25.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN | 3.9% | 25.71 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.4% | 29.34 | 2 |
| 13 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.2% | 44.66 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 1.4% | 70.07 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 151.5
PLACE
3 17.5
6 39
13 65
QUINELLA
6,13 1,956.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 106
3,13 240
6,13 473
FORECAST
6,13 2,957
TIERCE
6,13,3 24,598
TRIO
3,6,13 3,044
FIRST 4
3,6,9,13 3,669
QUARTET
6,13,3,9 113,744
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,6,13 51,065
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20
3RD DOUBLE
5/6 95
5/13 51