沙田 · 2023-06-10 · 21:01
第 9場
2023-06-10沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為HEAVY。由L Hewitson策騎、T P Yung訓練的PULSAR STRIDER勝出，贏出N。EXCELLENT FIGHTER獲得亞軍；INVINCIBLE SAGE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門LUCKY ENCOUNTER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER 1.10.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B1/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | READY TO WIN XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SOLID SHALAA M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 5 | 89.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | NISHIKADO P-/B1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 68.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | CHATEAU K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 4 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY P-/H/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 24.9% | 4.02 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 20.2% | 4.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 13.2% | 7.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 12.7% | 7.90 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 9.2% | 10.87 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER | 6.0% | 16.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | READY TO WIN | 4.6% | 21.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 2.8% | 35.43 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | SOLID SHALAA | 1.9% | 53.82 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | CHATEAU | 1.5% | 68.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | NISHIKADO | 0.7% | 152.94 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 154.5
PLACE
3 17
6 14.5
9 37.5
QUINELLA
6,9 227.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 35.5
3,9 87
6,9 77
FORECAST
9,6 609
TIERCE
9,6,3 3,075
TRIO
3,6,9 301
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 802
QUARTET
9,6,3,10 23,441
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
8/6 58
8/9 1,289