沙田 · 2023-06-10 · 20:31
第 8場
2023-06-10沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為HEAVY。由C Y Ho策騎、C S Shum訓練的SECRET VISION勝出，贏出HD。BEAUTY MISSILE獲得亞軍；JUMBO FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門RED HARE KING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SECRET VISION 後段發力 CP/TT 1.36.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 9.8 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE 後段發力 B H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 14 | 6.5 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | RED HARE KING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHEERY 後段發力 B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 13 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 H1/TT Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 9.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | RUNNING AHEAD TT B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 10 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | CHRYSOS 早段領放 B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | RED MAJESTY B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 53.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 7 | 24.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | KIMBERLEY L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 6 | 54.0 | 30-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | RED HARE KING | 14.8% | 6.77 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | CHEERY | 11.8% | 8.49 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 10.7% | 9.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | CHRYSOS | 8.2% | 12.26 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | SECRET VISION | 8.0% | 12.48 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 7.0% | 14.26 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 6.7% | 14.83 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.3% | 23.15 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | ENTRUSTED | 4.2% | 23.94 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.0% | 25.09 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | RED MAJESTY | 3.3% | 30.32 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.1% | 47.49 | 10 |
| 14 | 1 | KIMBERLEY | 0.7% | 133.90 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 98
PLACE
4 27
5 29.5
8 28
QUINELLA
4,8 362
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 105
4,8 115
5,8 120.5
FORECAST
8,4 745
TIERCE
8,4,5 6,350
TRIO
4,5,8 1,003
FIRST 4
4,5,8,14 676
QUARTET
8,4,5,14 22,811
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 38.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/4,5,8 152,922
7TH DOUBLE
5/4 118
5/8 423