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Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 20:31

Race 8

Class 3 HEAVY 1600m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.36.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SECRET VISION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.36.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum 1 9.8 HD
3 0 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly XB Z Purton · P C Ng 11 8.7 1/2
4 0 RED HARE KING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 3.9 3/4
5 0 CHEERY Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu 12 13.0 1-3/4
6 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · W Y So 13 12.0 1-3/4
7 0 NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly H1/TT Y L Chung · D J Hall 5 12.0 3-1/4
8 0 BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size 9 15.0 4-1/4
9 0 SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting 2 9.1 5-3/4
10 0 RUNNING AHEAD TT B Avdulla · T P Yung 10 50.0 6
11 0 CHRYSOS Led early B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 12.0 12-1/4
12 0 RED MAJESTY B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 8 53.0 15-1/4
13 0 RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards 7 24.0 16-1/2
14 0 KIMBERLEY L Currie · A T Millard 6 54.0 30-1/2
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly B H Bowman · F C Lor — 6.5 HD

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on HEAVY going. SECRET VISION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite RED HARE KING finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SECRET VISION—3. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.5L4. RED HARE KING+0.75L5. CHEERY+1.75L6. ENTRUSTED+1.75L7. NEVER TOO SOON+3.25L8. BEAUTY FIT+4.25L9. SMILING COLLECTOR+5.75L10. RUNNING AHEAD+6L11. CHRYSOS+12.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick RED HARE KING (14.8%) finished 4th — the winner SECRET VISION was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RED HARE KING 14.8% 6.77 4
2 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 14.2% 7.04 3
3 0 CHEERY 11.8% 8.49 5
4 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 10.7% 9.35 —
5 0 CHRYSOS 8.2% 12.26 11
6 0 SECRET VISION 8.0% 12.48 1
7 0 RATTAN KINGDOM 7.0% 14.26 13
8 0 SMILING COLLECTOR 6.7% 14.83 9
9 0 BEAUTY FIT 4.3% 23.15 8
10 0 ENTRUSTED 4.2% 23.94 6
11 0 NEVER TOO SOON 4.0% 25.09 7
12 0 RED MAJESTY 3.3% 30.32 12
13 0 RUNNING AHEAD 2.1% 47.49 10
14 0 KIMBERLEY 0.7% 133.90 14
RED HARE KINGJUMBO FORTUNECHEERYBEAUTY MISSILECHRYSOSSECRET VISION — wonRATTAN KINGDOMSMILING COLLECTORBEAUTY FITENTRUSTEDNEVER TOO SOONRED MAJESTYRUNNING AHEADKIMBERLEY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 98

PLACE

4 27

5 29.5

8 28

QUINELLA

4,8 362

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 105

4,8 115

5,8 120.5

FORECAST

8,4 745

TIERCE

8,4,5 6,350

TRIO

4,5,8 1,003

FIRST 4

4,5,8,14 676

QUARTET

8,4,5,14 22,811

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 38.5

A3 —

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/4,5,8 152,922

7TH DOUBLE

5/4 118

5/8 423