Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 18:37
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LADY'S CHOICE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C W Chang, won by HD, with CALL ME DANDY second and ROUND THE GLOBE third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H 1.09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 3 | 2.9 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 4.9 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | ROUND THE GLOBE TT- A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MARVEL DRAGON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHILL WAY H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 106.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 9.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 4 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | E BROTHER B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 10 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 134.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MR MAJESTIC SR-/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 33.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY B- C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 51.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LADY'S CHOICE | 31.7% | 3.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY | 12.6% | 7.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | MARVEL DRAGON | 11.3% | 8.88 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 9.8% | 10.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | E BROTHER | 6.9% | 14.59 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | RATTAN WORLD | 2.9% | 34.57 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.1% | 46.85 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.9% | 53.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | MR MAJESTIC | 1.7% | 58.82 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | CHILL WAY | 1.1% | 90.17 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 1.0% | 96.63 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 29
PLACE
1 17.5
7 15.5
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,11 74
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 43
1,11 32
7,11 29
FORECAST
11,1 175
TIERCE
11,1,7 425
TRIO
1,7,11 82
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 96
QUARTET
11,1,7,5 1,622
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/1,7,11 21,034
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 92
6/11 327
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,13/2,6,11/1,7,11 5,032,077
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,13/2,6,11/Any Combination 30,114