Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 16:01

Race 1

Class 3 WET FAST 1800m 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.83

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	ERIMO Closed strongly B-/PC2 1.46.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size	A Badel	J Size	3	135 lb	3.2	SH
2	ADEFILL Closed strongly CP K Teetan · P F Yiu	K Teetan	P F Yiu	5	122 lb	2.8	SH
4	SO WE JOY Closed strongly XB-/TT B Avdulla · C W Chang	B Avdulla	C W Chang	6	127 lb	9.0	1-1/2
5	SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui	Y L Chung	K W Lui	2	108 lb	16.0	2-1/2
6	NORDIC STAR TT C Y Ho · C S Shum	C Y Ho	C S Shum	1	120 lb	9.2	4-1/4
7	TIANCHI MONSTER Z Purton · W Y So	Z Purton	W Y So	7	132 lb	11.0	5-1/2
—	PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes	H Bowman	C Fownes	—	—	5.5	N
—	FIERY DIAMOND L Hewitson · T P Yung	L Hewitson	T P Yung	—	126 lb	—	—

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on WET FAST going. ERIMO, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by SH, with ADEFILL second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite ADEFILL finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23

The model's top pick ADEFILL (23.8%) finished 2nd — the winner ERIMO was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	ADEFILL	23.8%	4.20	2	2.8
2	ERIMO	22.4%	4.46	1	3.2
3	TIANCHI MONSTER	20.8%	4.80	7	11.0
4	PERFECT TEAM	13.5%	7.40	—	5.5
5	SKYEY SUPREME	7.6%	13.24	5	16.0
6	SO WE JOY	6.1%	16.35	4	9.0
7	NORDIC STAR	5.7%	17.41	6	9.2

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 32.5

PLACE

1 14

5 18.5

6 13

QUINELLA

1,6 46.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 45.5

1,6 20

5,6 32.5

FORECAST

1,6 87

TIERCE

1,6,5 325

TRIO

1,5,6 97

FIRST 4

1,3,5,6 110

QUARTET

1,6,5,3 1,289

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 24

A3 —

Race 2 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1800m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data