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Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 19:06

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 13 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALL IS GOOD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with UNPRESUMING second and LUCKY PLANET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite UNPRESUMING finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.22.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 ALL IS GOOD Closed strongly B 1.22.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 7.9 1-3/4
2 1 UNPRESUMING Led early B Z Purton · J Size 9 3.5 1-3/4
3 7 LUCKY PLANET XB-/SR B Avdulla · D J Whyte 6 34.0 2-1/4
4 11 YOUNG HORIZON K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 7.3 2-1/4
5 3 KASI FARASI Closed strongly B H Bowman · C H Yip 7 9.3 2-3/4
6 12 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 8 4.1 3
7 9 SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K L Man 11 100.0 3-3/4
8 2 HOLY POWER B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 1 9.4 3-3/4
9 10 AMAZING TRAVIS Closed strongly H/TT L Currie · W Y So 10 139.0 4-1/4
10 4 D STAR B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 19.0 4-3/4
11 6 DINOSAUR BOY B K C Leung · T P Yung 13 58.0 5-3/4
12 8 SUPER ELITE H1/TT- M L Yeung · P F Yiu 3 33.0 6-3/4
13 13 CHARIZARD B/TT A Badel · A T Millard 4 14.0 8-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL IS GOOD2. UNPRESUMING+1.75L3. LUCKY PLANET+2.25L4. YOUNG HORIZON+2.25L5. KASI FARASI+2.75L6. CASA LEGEND+3L7. SO AWESOME+3.75L8. HOLY POWER+3.75L9. AMAZING TRAVIS+4.25L10. D STAR+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HOLY POWER (25.4%) finished 8th — the winner ALL IS GOOD was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 HOLY POWER 25.4% 3.93 8
2 5 ALL IS GOOD 14.4% 6.95 1
3 1 UNPRESUMING 13.8% 7.26 2
4 11 YOUNG HORIZON 9.7% 10.26 4
5 12 CASA LEGEND 8.5% 11.83 6
6 3 KASI FARASI 8.3% 12.11 5
7 13 CHARIZARD 7.3% 13.77 13
8 4 D STAR 6.1% 16.45 10
9 7 LUCKY PLANET 2.3% 43.62 3
10 9 SO AWESOME 1.5% 66.09 7
11 6 DINOSAUR BOY 1.4% 71.90 11
12 8 SUPER ELITE 0.8% 132.04 12
13 10 AMAZING TRAVIS 0.7% 153.10 9
HOLY POWERALL IS GOOD — wonUNPRESUMINGYOUNG HORIZONCASA LEGENDKASI FARASICHARIZARDD STARLUCKY PLANETSO AWESOMEDINOSAUR BOYSUPER ELITEAMAZING TRAVIS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 79.5

PLACE

1 16

5 26

7 80.5

QUINELLA

1,5 138

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 57.5

1,7 220

5,7 387

FORECAST

5,1 334

TIERCE

5,1,7 9,027

TRIO

1,5,7 1,540

FIRST 4

1,5,7,11 2,370

QUARTET

5,1,7,11 47,577

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A2 29.5

A1

6TH DOUBLE

11/1 17.5

11/5 267