Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 21:32
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H 1.49.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 53.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 6 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly P-/CP1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 8.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT CP-/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 46.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN SR-/B2/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on SOFT going. BOURBONAIRE, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by SH, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and TUCHEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite TUCHEL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL | 30.5% | 3.28 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH | 18.8% | 5.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 10.6% | 9.44 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 8.2% | 12.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 7.3% | 13.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 5.1% | 19.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 4.8% | 20.89 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 4.3% | 23.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 3.1% | 31.83 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 2.7% | 37.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.3% | 43.58 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 2.2% | 44.54 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 73.5
PLACE
1 14
6 26
9 120.5
QUINELLA
6,9 2,200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 56.5
1,9 248
6,9 601
FORECAST
6,9 3,722
TIERCE
6,9,1 19,391
TRIO
1,6,9 1,552
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 5,114
QUARTET
6,9,1,7 130,776
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/9/6 9,207
8/9/9 15,181
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/1,6,9 148,430
9TH DOUBLE
9/6 984
9/9 1,457.5
SIX UP
6,11/1,11/1,5/4,8/6,9/6,9 73,658
1 [C Y Ho] —
1 [J Size] —