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Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 16:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C 11 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING ROCKY, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with MIDAS TOUCH second and TALENTS SUPREMO third. The 1.7 favourite BEAUTY DESTINY finished 11th.

Result

Official · 0.56.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 AMAZING ROCKY 0.56.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · T P Yung 3 5.4 1
2 6 MIDAS TOUCH E H Bowman · J Size 11 6.7 1
3 3 TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Hewitson · R Gibson 4 30.0 1-1/2
4 2 SPARKLING KNIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip 10 17.0 1-3/4
5 7 UNIVERSAL PURSUIT XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 13.0 2
5 9 STRATHPEFFER B K Teetan · D J Whyte 5 12.0 2
7 10 EAGLE RUN SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 6 92.0 2-3/4
8 4 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 1 38.0 3-1/4
9 8 SUPER EAGLE TT L Ferraris · W Y So 2 48.0 6-1/2
10 11 GREAT FOR YOU B-/TT1 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 7 89.0 10-3/4
11 5 BEAUTY DESTINY Z Purton · F C Lor 9 1.7 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING ROCKY2. MIDAS TOUCH+1L3. TALENTS SUPREMO+1.5L4. SPARKLING KNIGHT+1.75L5. UNIVERSAL PURSUIT+2L5. STRATHPEFFER+2L7. EAGLE RUN+2.75L8. TEAM SPIRIT+3.25L9. SUPER EAGLE+6.5L10. GREAT FOR YOU+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick BEAUTY DESTINY (38.9%) finished 11th — the winner AMAZING ROCKY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BEAUTY DESTINY 38.9% 2.57 11
2 6 MIDAS TOUCH 14.1% 7.10 2
3 9 STRATHPEFFER 10.3% 9.67 5
4 1 AMAZING ROCKY 8.6% 11.62 1
5 4 TEAM SPIRIT 7.5% 13.31 8
6 8 SUPER EAGLE 7.3% 13.73 9
7 7 UNIVERSAL PURSUIT 5.3% 18.98 5
8 2 SPARKLING KNIGHT 3.3% 29.99 4
9 3 TALENTS SUPREMO 2.2% 46.49 3
10 11 GREAT FOR YOU 1.4% 69.92 10
11 10 EAGLE RUN 1.1% 93.90 7
BEAUTY DESTINYMIDAS TOUCHSTRATHPEFFERAMAZING ROCKY — wonTEAM SPIRITSUPER EAGLEUNIVERSAL PURSUITSPARKLING KNIGHTTALENTS SUPREMOGREAT FOR YOUEAGLE RUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 54

PLACE

1 18

3 55.5

6 23

QUINELLA

1,6 214

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 191.5

1,6 67

3,6 320

FORECAST

1,6 423

TIERCE

1,6,3 10,005

TRIO

1,3,6 2,165

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 3,362

QUARTET

1,6,3,2 61,908

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/1 218.5

1/6 59.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,6/1,3,6 24,332

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 31