Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 17:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF LUCK, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with TRAVEL GLORY second and MAXIMIZE HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite MAXIMIZE HEART finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly H-/B1/TT 1.22.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 28.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 3 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | APEX TOP Led early B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 14 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | INSPIRING CITY Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GREEN LASER B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B/H/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 76.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN LASER | 17.9% | 5.58 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 13.7% | 7.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 11.0% | 9.09 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | APEX TOP | 8.8% | 11.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.7% | 15.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | INSPIRING CITY | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 5.3% | 18.95 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | MASTER OF LUCK | 4.8% | 20.98 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.9% | 25.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | TURTLE AGAIN | 3.9% | 25.71 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.4% | 29.34 | 2 |
| 13 | 7 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.2% | 44.66 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 1.4% | 70.07 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 151.5
PLACE
3 17.5
6 39
13 65
QUINELLA
6,13 1,956.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 106
3,13 240
6,13 473
FORECAST
6,13 2,957
TIERCE
6,13,3 24,598
TRIO
3,6,13 3,044
FIRST 4
3,6,9,13 3,669
QUARTET
6,13,3,9 113,744
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,6,13 51,065
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20
3RD DOUBLE
5/6 95
5/13 51