Sha Tin · 2023-06-10 · 18:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB 1.48.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 9.2 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 96.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO H/V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 4.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 3.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Led early B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 8 | 9.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 6 | 8.4 | 12-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 81.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 5 | 26.0 | 22-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-10 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TURQUOISE ALPHA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with EL VALIENTE second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 27.2% | 3.67 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 11.5% | 8.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 11.3% | 8.84 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 10.4% | 9.58 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 9.7% | 10.27 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.6% | 13.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 6.6% | 15.11 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 6.4% | 15.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 5.2% | 19.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.7% | 57.90 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 1.4% | 72.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 0.9% | 113.61 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 92
PLACE
2 25.5
6 28.5
11 30.5
QUINELLA
6,11 550
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 151
2,11 131.5
6,11 146
FORECAST
6,11 846
TIERCE
6,11,2 7,638
TRIO
2,6,11 1,635
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 26,759
QUARTET
6,11,2,4 332,685
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/6/6 1,270
5/6/11 221
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 25
4TH DOUBLE
6/6 1,005
6/11 180