沙田 · 2023-07-03 · 19:16
第 1場
2023-07-03沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bowman策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WINWIN THIRTYTHREE勝出，贏出2。NOBLE STEED獲得亞軍；APEX TOP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門APEX TOP跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V 1.24.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | APEX TOP B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER JOY P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | DRAGON KINGDOM 早段領放 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 14 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | FIRE BALL Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | BIRDSVILLE 後段發力 SR/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 9.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SOARING TOWER B-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 12 | 80.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | APEX TOP | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SOARING TOWER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 12 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER HORNET | 12.8% | 7.79 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | NOBLE STEED | 8.0% | 12.49 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE | 7.9% | 12.58 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 7.3% | 13.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.7% | 17.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | FIRE BALL | 4.4% | 22.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | BIRDSVILLE | 4.3% | 23.39 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.0% | 24.81 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO | 2.7% | 36.71 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | NORDIC COMBINED | 2.7% | 37.30 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | SUPER JOY | 2.5% | 40.43 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 62.5
PLACE
1 38.5
4 18
11 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 420.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 137
1,11 92
4,11 54
FORECAST
4,1 663
TIERCE
4,1,11 2,788
TRIO
1,4,11 383
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 6,763
QUARTET
4,1,11,8 137,425
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24
A3 —