Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V 1.24.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | APEX TOP B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER JOY P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON KINGDOM Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 14 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FIRE BALL Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 9.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SOARING TOWER B-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 12 | 80.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with NOBLE STEED second and APEX TOP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite APEX TOP finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | APEX TOP | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SOARING TOWER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 12.8% | 7.79 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 8.0% | 12.49 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 7.9% | 12.58 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 7.3% | 13.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.7% | 17.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 4.4% | 22.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE | 4.3% | 23.39 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.0% | 24.81 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO | 2.7% | 36.71 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED | 2.7% | 37.30 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER JOY | 2.5% | 40.43 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 62.5
PLACE
1 38.5
4 18
11 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 420.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 137
1,11 92
4,11 54
FORECAST
4,1 663
TIERCE
4,1,11 2,788
TRIO
1,4,11 383
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 6,763
QUARTET
4,1,11,8 137,425
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24