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Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 22:18

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO YIELDING 1600m Course C 11 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 E LEGEND Led early B Avdulla · K L Man 13 21.0 N
3 0 BON'S A PEARLA B C L Chau · P C Ng 2 24.0 1/2
4 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size 10 15.0 3/4
5 0 SNAFFLES Closed strongly M F Poon · D A Hayes 3 47.0 2
6 0 CHEERY Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 7.7 2-3/4
8 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 6 10.0 2-3/4
9 0 SUNNY STAR Closed strongly B E C W Wong · C Fownes 1 26.0 3-1/2
10 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · W Y So 12 25.0 3-3/4
11 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS B L Ferraris · D J Hall 9 9.6 4
13 0 C P BRAVE CP-/B2/TT- M Dee · A T Millard 8 40.0 6
14 0 PACKING KNOCKHILL XB H Bentley · L Ho 7 162.0 7
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE B H Bowman · F C Lor — 4.5 2-3/4
— 0 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum — 3.1 N
— 0 ROMANTIC LAOS H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards — 17.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. E LEGEND, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by K L Man, won by N, with BON'S A PEARLA second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner raced prominently from the start. The 3.1 favourite HELENE FEELING did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. E LEGEND+0.05L3. BON'S A PEARLA+0.5L4. LEADING FORTUNE+0.75L5. SNAFFLES+2L6. CHEERY+2.75L8. CALIFORNIA VOCE+2.75L9. SUNNY STAR+3.5L10. ENTRUSTED+3.75L11. NICHOLSON RETURNS+4L13. C P BRAVE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HELENE FEELING 21.7% 4.60 —
2 0 ROMANTIC LAOS 21.4% 4.68 —
3 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 12.1% 8.25 —
4 0 CHEERY 7.6% 13.15 6
5 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS 7.1% 14.13 11
6 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE 5.0% 20.10 8
7 0 SUNNY STAR 4.2% 23.67 9
8 0 ENTRUSTED 4.2% 24.02 10
9 0 E LEGEND 3.8% 26.01 2
10 0 LEADING FORTUNE 3.3% 30.46 4
11 0 SNAFFLES 3.2% 31.51 5
12 0 BON'S A PEARLA 3.0% 33.44 3
13 0 C P BRAVE 2.6% 37.99 13
14 0 PACKING KNOCKHILL 0.8% 121.00 14
HELENE FEELINGROMANTIC LAOSBEAUTY MISSILECHEERYNICHOLSON RETURNSCALIFORNIA VOCESUNNY STARENTRUSTEDE LEGENDLEADING FORTUNESNAFFLESBON'S A PEARLAC P BRAVEPACKING KNOCKHILL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 31

PLACE

3 15.5

4 53

9 53.5

QUINELLA

3,9 407

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 136.5

3,9 128

4,9 643

FORECAST

3,9 546

TIERCE

3,9,4 8,948

TRIO

3,4,9 2,258

FIRST 4

3,4,7,9 8,381

QUARTET

3,9,4,7 83,557

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 18.5

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

7/3 1,278

7/9 1,447