Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 19:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DAY DAY RICH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with VAMOS second and THE GOOD DEAL third. The 2.8 favourite THE GOOD DEAL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT 1.10.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 11 | 13.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | VAMOS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 9.4 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | THE GOOD DEAL TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE BOYZ B/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | I GIVE PC-/CP1/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | NOIR RIDER V-/B2/TT- L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 6 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | LITTLE PLAYER B/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | EUROMISSILE B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAT HOLLOW CP- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 27.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER CLASS H-/P-/XB/B2 M Dee · A T Millard | M Dee | A T Millard | 9 | 43.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 45.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE GOOD DEAL | 22.1% | 4.52 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | I GIVE | 18.3% | 5.47 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | VAMOS | 13.2% | 7.56 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE BOYZ | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | ALLOY KING | 6.7% | 15.02 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR | 6.4% | 15.51 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH | 5.4% | 18.67 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | LITTLE PLAYER | 4.3% | 23.30 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAT HOLLOW | 3.9% | 25.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | NOIR RIDER | 3.0% | 33.21 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER CLASS | 2.6% | 38.89 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | EUROMISSILE | 1.8% | 55.75 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 133
PLACE
2 14.5
6 23
9 39
QUINELLA
6,9 565.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 45
2,9 70
6,9 135
FORECAST
9,6 1,142
TIERCE
9,6,2 4,298
TRIO
2,6,9 457
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 435
QUARTET
9,6,2,4 17,013
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/6 108
4/9 1,172
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/2,6,9 10,864
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 40.5