Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 21:16
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly 1.23.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM Closed strongly TT- B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/CP1/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 104.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON STAR Closed strongly B/XB/TT- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 13 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.2 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TRUST ME Led early H H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HUGE WIN SR M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 6 | 112.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EXCELLENT DADDY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 4 | 63.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK H1/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 141.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | UNITED WARRIORS XB1/TT- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 57.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE B1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 138.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SIMPLE HEDGE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2-3/4, with JUNE PLANET second and ETERNAL BLOOM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 35.3% | 2.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JUNE PLANET | 17.8% | 5.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 9.8% | 10.22 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | TRUST ME | 6.2% | 16.10 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 6.0% | 16.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 4.6% | 21.88 | — |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 4.1% | 24.59 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 3.6% | 27.96 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 3.1% | 32.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 2.9% | 34.80 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.6% | 38.43 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | UNITED WARRIORS | 2.5% | 40.63 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | HUGE WIN | 1.7% | 59.42 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24.5
PLACE
1 31
3 13.5
6 12
QUINELLA
3,6 50
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65.5
1,6 68
3,6 24
FORECAST
3,6 77
TIERCE
3,6,1 531
TRIO
1,3,6 172
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 198
QUARTET
3,6,1,4 1,954
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/2/3 147
4/2/6 48
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 70
2/6 22.5