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Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 20:46

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALL IS GOOD Closed strongly B 1.22.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 3.3 1-3/4
2 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly B H Bowman · C H Yip 3 5.6 1-3/4
3 0 KING OF THE COURT Closed strongly B H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 14.0 2
4 0 ALL RICHES Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 12.0 3-3/4
5 0 DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 11 12.0 5-1/4
6 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB/B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang 7 28.0 5-3/4
8 0 ACA POWER Closed strongly CP M Dee · D J Hall 1 11.0 8-1/4
9 0 REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 161.0 8-3/4
10 0 GLUCK RACER Closed strongly B-/H1/V2/TT- A Badel · L Ho 8 12.0 11-3/4
11 0 UNPRESUMING B Z Purton · J Size 5 4.1 17
12 0 LEATHER VANGUARD C L Chau · T P Yung 4 95.0 38
— 0 SAMARKAND CP/TT K Teetan · P C Ng — 23.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ALL IS GOOD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with KASI FARASI second and KING OF THE COURT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL IS GOOD—2. KASI FARASI+1.75L3. KING OF THE COURT+2L4. ALL RICHES+3.75L5. DRAGON DELIGHT+5.25L6. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+5.75L8. ACA POWER+8.25L9. REGENCY HAPPY STAR+8.75L10. GLUCK RACER+11.75L11. UNPRESUMING+17L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick UNPRESUMING (21.6%) finished 11th — the winner ALL IS GOOD was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 UNPRESUMING 21.6% 4.62 11
2 0 ALL IS GOOD 17.0% 5.87 1
3 0 KASI FARASI 12.9% 7.75 2
4 0 ACA POWER 10.4% 9.62 8
5 0 KING OF THE COURT 9.7% 10.26 3
6 0 DRAGON DELIGHT 6.5% 15.31 5
7 0 ALL RICHES 5.9% 17.04 4
8 0 SAMARKAND 5.2% 19.08 —
9 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 4.6% 21.55 6
10 0 GLUCK RACER 3.4% 29.23 10
11 0 LEATHER VANGUARD 1.8% 56.17 12
12 0 REGENCY HAPPY STAR 0.8% 127.43 9
UNPRESUMINGALL IS GOOD — wonKASI FARASIACA POWERKING OF THE COURTDRAGON DELIGHTALL RICHESSAMARKANDRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINEGLUCK RACERLEATHER VANGUARDREGENCY HAPPY STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 33

PLACE

2 15.5

6 18

9 36.5

QUINELLA

2,6 101.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 39.5

2,9 83

6,9 99

FORECAST

2,6 157

TIERCE

2,6,9 1,039

TRIO

2,6,9 330

FIRST 4

2,3,6,9 639

QUARTET

2,6,9,3 8,047

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,10/2,6,9 11,877

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 18.5

3RD DOUBLE

4/2 60

4/6 19