Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PO ON WAY CP1/H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 48.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY B1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 45.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TRADER CP-/B2/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC Y L Chung · L Ho | Y L Chung | L Ho | 10 | 30.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MR FUN H/XB/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 12 | 119.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | PANDA LEGEND H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 11 | 26.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GO GO GO H/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | — | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | — | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SPARKLING KNIGHT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ISLAND GOLDEN, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with PO ON WAY second and LITTLE FAIRY third. The 2.0 favourite LADY'S CHOICE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE | 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
| 2 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON | 8.7% | 11.53 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 5.7% | 17.45 | — |
| 5 | 0 | PO ON WAY | 5.0% | 20.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.2% | 24.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 3.4% | 29.31 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | TRADER | 3.3% | 30.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PANDA LEGEND | 2.8% | 36.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GO GO GO | 2.2% | 44.70 | — |
| 11 | 0 | MR FUN | 2.2% | 46.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.1% | 48.58 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 20
PLACE
3 21
4 11
10 36.5
QUINELLA
3,4 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 33.5
3,10 150.5
4,10 53.5
FORECAST
4,3 131
TIERCE
4,3,10 904
TRIO
3,4,10 312
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 1,689
QUARTET
4,3,10,5 13,706
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/3 358
9/4 307.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14